***************** ECMWF monthly forecast *********************
**************************************************************
mnt1: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena tezinjenjem osmotrenih klimatskih percentila modifikovanim prognoziranim verovatnocama
mnt2: nova prognozirana vrednost dobijena  ocitavanjem vrednosti prognoziranog percentila iz niza osmotrene klimatologije
eavg: srednja vrednost svih ansambala
anmn2t: prognozirana anomalija, gde je normala srednja vrednost hindcast klimatologije
pctmnt: prognoziran percentil u odnosu na hindcast klimatologiju svih ansambala
apcmnt: prognoziran percentil : percentili pojedinacnih ansambala su sabrani, a potom podeljeni ukupnim brojem ansambala
33%=donji tercil 50%=medijana  66%=gornji tercil (osmotrena klimatologija 1981-2010)
p<33 33<=p<=66 p>66 (modifikovane prognozirane verovatnoce)
**************************************************************
fct start 14.06.2012. 4 nedelje od ponedeljka
valid: 18.06.2012.-15.07.2012.
**************************************************************
ghid      t<33 33<=t<=66 t>66      mnt1   mnt2   eavg  anmn2t pctmnt avpmnt  33%    50%    66% br.god
18000G04     0    16    84   100 9999.0   17.5   18.7    1.5   88.8   83.7 9999.0 9999.0 9999.0   25   Banatski Karlovac             
17000G06     0    13    87   100   16.0   17.0   19.0    1.6   90.5   85.5   14.2   14.9   15.6   30   Becej                         
27400G00     0    11    89   100   17.8   18.7   18.9    1.7   90.9   86.3   16.2   16.8   17.4   30   Beograd                       
28900G14     0    12    88   100   13.0   14.0   16.9    1.4   91.4   86.1   11.5   12.1   12.6   29   Crni Vrh                      
38400G13     0    14    86   100   14.5   15.3   16.7    1.4   90.9   85.6   13.1   13.6   14.2   30   Cuprija                       
39700G22     0     8    92   100   13.4   14.3   14.9    1.5   93.4   88.3   12.1   12.6   13.0   30   Dimitrovgrad                  
17400G03     0    18    82   100   15.9   16.6   18.9    1.5   87.4   82.4   14.6   15.2   15.7   30   Kikinda                       
37800G18     0     7    93   100    8.6    9.7   15.1    1.7   94.5   89.8    7.2    7.8    8.3   30   Kopaonik                      
27800G12     0    10    90   100   15.6   16.5   17.1    1.5   92.2   87.0   14.3   14.8   15.3   30   Kragujevac                    
37600G18     0     8    92   100   15.5   16.5   15.7    1.6   93.6   88.6   14.1   14.7   15.2   30   Kraljevo                      
38300G19     0     6    94   100   15.5   16.6   16.4    1.6   94.4   89.7   14.0   14.6   15.1   30   Krusevac                      
38200G21     0     5    95   100   13.4   14.6   15.9    1.7   94.9   90.4   11.9   12.5   13.0   30   Kursumlija                    
38900G23     0    12    88   100   14.8   15.6   15.3    1.3   91.2   86.0   13.4   13.9   14.4   30   Leskovac                      
26200G08     0    23    77   100   16.1   16.6   16.8    1.1   83.1   78.1   14.8   15.4   15.9   30   Loznica                       
29500G14     0     9    91   100   16.9   17.9   17.8    1.5   93.6   88.1   15.4   16.0   16.5   30   Negotin                       
38800G20     0    11    89   100   15.8   16.8   15.9    1.4   92.3   87.1   14.4   14.9   15.5   30   Nis                           
06700G01     0    17    83   100   16.4   17.1   18.6    1.5   88.7   83.3   15.0   15.6   16.1   29   Palic                         
37000G16     0    12    88   100   14.1   14.9   14.8    1.4   90.9   85.4   12.7   13.2   13.7   30   Pozega                        
16800G06     0    12    88   100   15.8   16.6   19.0    1.7   91.3   86.4   14.4   14.9   15.5   30   Rimski Sancevi                
36900G16     0     8    92   100    9.9   10.9   13.1    1.6   93.0   87.9    8.6    9.1    9.6   30   Sjenica                       
27900G10     0    13    87   100   15.5   16.3   18.2    1.5   90.7   85.6   14.1   14.6   15.1   30   Smederevska Palanka           
16000G05     0    20    80   100   15.4   16.0   18.4    1.3   85.7   80.5   14.1   14.6   15.2   30   Sombor                        
26600G07     0    13    87   100   15.2   15.9   18.7    1.6   90.3   85.5   13.9   14.4   14.9   30   Sremska Mitrovica             
26900G09     0    14    86   100   15.9   16.7   16.7    1.4   88.4   83.3   14.3   15.0   15.6   30   Valjevo                       
28500G11     0    16    84   100   15.4   16.1   17.3    1.3   88.1   82.8   14.1   14.6   15.1   30   Veliko Gradiste               
48900G24     0    10    90   100   14.4   15.0   15.2    1.3   89.7   85.4   13.1   13.6   14.0   30   Vranje                        
18300G04     0    18    82   100   15.4   16.1   17.9    1.3   86.3   81.1   13.9   14.5   15.1   30   Vrsac                         
39200G15     0    12    88   100   14.6   15.5   17.2    1.4   91.9   86.4   13.2   13.8   14.3   30   Zajecar                       
36700G16     0    12    88   100   12.6   13.5   14.1    1.5   91.2   85.7   11.3   11.8   12.3   30   Zlatibor                      
17300G02     0    12    88   100   16.2   17.0   19.2    1.7   90.6   85.8   14.7   15.2   15.8   30   Zrenjanin                     


------------------------------
ECMWF ROC skor za Srbiju
------------------------------

------------------------------
temperatura na 2m > gornjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------
temperatura na 2m < donjeg tercila
------------------------------
dani

 5-11 0.8-0.9
12-18 0.6-0.7
19-25 0.6-0.7 na severu i u centralnoj, na jugu 0.5-0.6
26-32 0.5-0.6
------------------------------